Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 314.338614 356.331708 403.160118 459.491500 525.730340 601.528600 695.377115
2025-06-29 250.342105 304.520748 370.448614 457.521387 570.911511 715.552957 917.267194
2025-07-06 208.433125 264.572473 336.635731 437.574581 578.004573 770.621101 1062.320666
2025-07-13 191.915753 252.825254 334.780133 455.802833 634.711760 897.442277 1328.375914
2025-07-20 179.969631 244.781745 335.622267 476.173474 695.623698 1038.789592 1645.797158
2025-07-27 165.527682 231.082000 326.099523 478.951935 728.943611 1141.729057 1922.505419
2025-08-03 149.893865 213.738695 308.856514 466.890679 735.641320 1200.540175 2132.958485
2025-08-10 137.420782 199.754531 294.977037 457.963741 745.417517 1265.090369 2368.125016
2025-08-17 131.522744 195.175932 295.086529 471.757275 796.179162 1412.537392 2808.851350
2025-08-24 123.215888 185.971607 286.696887 469.698648 817.367236 1506.541877 3159.230594
2025-08-31 114.862755 175.948523 275.933402 462.000682 826.416876 1577.163677 3474.760909
2025-09-07 109.070281 169.631797 270.780570 463.766820 854.010639 1691.613924 3933.054952
2025-09-14 101.556431 160.023487 259.393182 453.149465 856.127815 1753.260081 4281.675917
2025-09-21 96.115879 153.563362 253.030517 451.550037 877.207909 1863.592549 4809.303189
2025-09-28 88.618743 142.978331 238.347060 431.881771 856.060784 1868.160402 5023.276071
2025-10-05 86.962588 142.537757 242.139423 449.824275 921.762841 2104.025551 6068.783558
2025-10-12 85.625789 142.539049 246.707298 469.867193 995.785905 2380.718651 7395.715495
2025-10-19 82.269352 138.592575 243.367955 472.600851 1028.535035 2552.027368 8426.008461
2025-10-26 77.521989 131.747827 233.840984 460.733942 1022.964967 2611.083265 9039.093308
2025-11-02 73.485400 125.991004 226.044790 451.950151 1024.114068 2691.323935 9790.614497
2025-11-09 72.071548 125.122576 227.970741 465.522249 1086.565254 2980.696148 11683.759053
2025-11-16 69.190149 121.234783 223.426614 463.496762 1106.284438 3136.177295 13033.504159
2025-11-23 65.983443 116.522272 216.835823 455.922433 1109.329883 3236.039509 14164.323160